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Sacramento +4 @ Cleveland -111
Alternate Option: Sacramento ML vs. Cleveland +145
*Value: B Grade (+6.49% Edge)
*59.1% Win Probability
*80% Hit Rate (L10)
*73.33% Hit Rate (L15 Games)
*Projection: CLE -0.32
Keegan Murray (SAC)
Over 13.5 Points (-132)
*Value: B- Grade (+1.97% Edge)
*58.87% Win Probability
*60% Hit Rate (L15)
*Projection: 15.9 Points
Sacramento should keep it close in Cleveland, if not win outright tonight, with Keegan Murray playing well. Let’s start with the game, as BetAlytics has this one with a 59.1% win probability. People may think Cleveland to cover given their five-game winning streak, but their last three wins were over Detroit, Memphis, and San Antonio. Sacramento has also won five of their last six games, all on the road, so proving to be road warriors on this long trip. BetAlytics data also likes Murray's point total, with a 58.87% win probability. Murray has struggled his last two games but averages over 15 points per game on the road. He also had 25 points in his last game against Cleveland, so a nice bounce-back spot here tonight.